Hvidovre Stadium · Referee M. Lykke · Analysis updated 13:37 UTC
Hvidovre vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Hvidovre and 0.91 for Vendsyssel FF, a combined total of 3.06. That distribution gives Hvidovre the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hvidovre win
65.7% probability
Expected goals
2.15 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hvidovre home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Vendsyssel FF away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.8%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–07.7%
Recent form
Hvidovre
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus Fremad · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalborg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:30:00.000Z · A vs AB Copenhagen · 1-1 (D)
Vendsyssel FF
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Aalborg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Randers FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus Fremad · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Esbjerg · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 2-2 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2024-10-26T11:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 3-1 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2024-09-28T12:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 1-0 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2023-05-27T11:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 3-2 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2023-04-22T11:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 0-0 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2023-03-18T12:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 3-1 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2022-08-28T13:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 1-1 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2022-03-18T17:30:00.000Z · Hvidovre 1-0 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2021-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 3-2 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
- 2021-05-15T12:00:00.000Z · Hvidovre 2-2 Vendsyssel FF (1. Division)
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Vejle | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Aarhus Fremad | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Hobro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vendsyssel FF | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | AB Copenhagen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Hillerød | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Kolding IF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | HB Koge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hvidovre win, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.