· Analysis updated 15:59 UTC
Ibri vs Dhofar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Ibri and 0.66 for Dhofar, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Ibri the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Ibri win
58.1% probability
Expected goals
1.52 – 0.66
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ibri to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 26% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Ibri and 0.66 for Dhofar, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 38%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 58% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.2%
- 2–013.1%
- 0–011.3%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.6%
Recent form
Ibri
Dhofar
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Professional League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ibri win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.