· Analysis updated 09:57 UTC
IF Ready vs SF Grei Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.80 expected goals for IF Ready and 1.95 for SF Grei, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives IF Ready the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
IF Ready win
55.9% probability
Expected goals
2.80 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
IF Ready home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SF Grei away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates IF Ready to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 18% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.80 goals for IF Ready and 1.95 for SF Grei, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.6%
- 2–26.4%
- 3–16.2%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–14.7%
Recent form
IF Ready
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Carl Berner · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bærum · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SF Grei · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KFUM II · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ullern · 4-3 (W)
SF Grei
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Heming · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Konnerud · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Carl Berner · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-01T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Nordstrand · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyn · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 24 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 64 |
| 2 | Heming | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 47 |
| 3 | Gamle Oslo | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 |
| 4 | Vålerenga II | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 40 |
| 5 | IF Ready | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 |
| 6 | Bærum | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Union Carl Berner | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 38 |
| 8 | Frigg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | -22 | 29 |
| 10 | KFUM II | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | SF Grei | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | -29 | 25 |
| 12 | Ullern | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -19 | 23 |
| 13 | Nordstrand | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Konnerud | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -27 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is IF Ready win, at 55.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.