· Analysis updated 02:40 UTC
IFK Skövde vs Motala Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for IFK Skövde and 1.07 for Motala, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives IFK Skövde the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.
Model pick
IFK Skövde to Win
54.1% probability
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.0%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–16.1%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates IFK Skövde to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 23% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.79 goals for IFK Skövde and 1.07 for Motala, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
IFK Skövde to Win is the headline pick at 54% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
IFK Skövde
Motala
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Norra Götaland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 45 |
| 2 | Skara | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 30 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Stenungsund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 | Herrestads | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Motala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Kumla | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Vänersborgs FK | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 16 |
| 11 | Tord | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Lidköping | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 12 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -25 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.