Igman Konjic vs Bratstvo Gračanica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Igman Konjic and 0.98 for Bratstvo Gračanica, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Igman Konjic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.2% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Igman Konjic home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bratstvo Gračanica away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Igman Konjic win41%

Draw29%

Bratstvo Gračanica win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%

Over 2.5 goals37%

Over 3.5 goals18%

Both teams to score44%

Correct score

1–013.6%
1–113.3%
0–011.4%
0–111.1%
2–08.2%

Recent form

Igman Konjic

2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tomislav · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vitez · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar Kakanj · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Čapljina · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Posušje · 1-1 (D)

Bratstvo Gračanica

2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs GOŠK Gabela · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Hadžići · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zvijezda Gradačac · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TOŠK Tešanj · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Budućnost Banovići · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 0-0 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2026-05-24T15:30:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 0-0 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2025-11-02T12:30:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 0-1 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2022-03-19T14:00:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 2-1 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2021-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 3-1 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2021-05-22T15:30:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 0-3 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2020-10-31T12:30:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 0-2 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2019-08-17T15:30:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 2-1 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)
2019-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · Igman Konjic 1-1 Bratstvo Gračanica (1st League - FBiH)

1st League - FBiH table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Posušje	11	8	3	0	10	27
2	Travnik	11	8	1	2	12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	6	3	2	10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	6	2	3	13	20
5	GOŠK Gabela	11	6	2	3	7	20
6	Igman Konjic	11	5	4	2	4	19
7	TOŠK Tešanj	11	5	2	4	4	17
8	Bratstvo Gračanica	11	3	5	3	-2	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	3	4	4	1	13
10	Vitez	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	3	2	6	1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	3	1	7	-6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	11	2	2	7	-12	8
15	Čapljina	11	2	2	7	-13	8
16	Tomislav	11	2	2	7	-15	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.