Bosnia · 1st League - FBiH · FBiH - 813:00
Igman KonjicWDWDW

2 – 1

Saturday, 3 October 2026

· Analysis updated 14:32 UTC

Igman Konjic vs Budućnost Banovići Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Igman Konjic and 0.92 for Budućnost Banovići, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Igman Konjic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Igman Konjic win

69.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Igman Konjic home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Budućnost Banovići away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Igman Konjic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 18% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.35 goals for Igman Konjic and 0.92 for Budućnost Banovići, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Igman Konjic win69%
Draw18%
Budućnost Banovići win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 3–08.2%

Recent form

Igman Konjic

  • 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tomislav · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vitez · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar Kakanj · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Čapljina · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Posušje · 1-1 (D)

Budućnost Banovići

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Igman Konjic · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Bratstvo Gračanica · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Stupčanica Olovo · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo Bihać · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Travnik · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - FBiH table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Posušje10730824
2Travnik10712822
3Stupčanica Olovo106221420
4Igman Konjic10541519
5Sloboda Tuzla10532918
6GOŠK Gabela10523517
7Bratstvo Gračanica10352014
8TOŠK Tešanj10424014
9Jedinstvo Bihać10343513
10Budućnost Banovići10244-810
11Vitez10235-69
12Zvijezda Gradačac10226-28
13Rudar Kakanj10226-88
14Čapljina10226-108
15Tomislav10226-138
16Radnik Hadžići10217-77

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Igman Konjic win, at 69.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.