Ilves II vs GrIFK Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.82 expected goals for Ilves II and 1.10 for GrIFK, a combined total of 3.92. That distribution gives Ilves II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws roughly 27% of the time.

Model pick

Ilves II to Win

73.0% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.82 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ilves II win73%

Draw15%

GrIFK win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

27%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

2–18.7%
3–18.2%
2–07.9%
3–07.4%
1–16.1%

Why the model likes this

Ilves II home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ilves II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 15% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.82 goals for Ilves II and 1.10 for GrIFK, a combined 3.92 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 63%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Ilves II

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)

GrIFK

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Kakkonen - Lohko B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Honka	17	12	4	1	37	40
2	ÅIFK	17	11	3	3	19	36
3	HJS Akatemia	17	9	4	4	8	31
4	Ilves II	17	8	6	3	22	30
5	EPS	17	9	2	6	11	29
6	P-Iirot	17	8	3	6	6	27
7	GrIFK	17	6	3	8	-9	21
8	EBK	17	4	3	10	-14	15
9	Musa	17	2	3	12	-37	9
10	NJS	17	0	1	16	-43	1

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.