· Analysis updated 21:41 UTC
Înainte Modelu vs Axiopolis Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Înainte Modelu and 1.63 for Axiopolis, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Înainte Modelu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Înainte Modelu win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Înainte Modelu home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Axiopolis away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 1–18.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.0%
Recent form
Înainte Modelu
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Axiopolis · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dunarea Calarasi · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-05-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tricolorul Breaza · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Flacăra Moreni · 1-0 (W)
Axiopolis
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Fundulea · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Agricola Borcea · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Oţelul II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunarea Calarasi · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Înainte Modelu · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 1-1 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 4)
- 2025-11-21T12:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 3-1 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2025-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 5-0 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2025-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 2-2 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2025-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 5-0 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2024-12-06T12:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 3-1 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2024-10-05T12:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 2-3 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2024-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 2-2 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2024-03-30T13:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 1-3 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
- 2023-11-17T12:00:00.000Z · Înainte Modelu 2-1 Axiopolis (Liga III - Serie 3)
Liga III - Serie 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 27 |
| 2 | Progresul Fundulea | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting Lieşti | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 |
| 4 | Unirea Braniştea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Înainte Modelu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Axiopolis | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Agigea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 15 |
| 9 | Dunarea Calarasi | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Gloria Băneasa | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Oţelul II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 12 | Portul Constanta | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -26 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Înainte Modelu win, at 48.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.