Estadio Olimpico Patria · Referee E. Salazar · Analysis updated 00:19 UTC
Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.13 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Independiente Petrolero the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Independiente Petrolero win
57.6% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Independiente Petrolero home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 10 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Independiente Petrolero
- 2026-10-24T23:30:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-20T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Aurora · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Blooming · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-12T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Always Ready · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-07T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 1-0 (W)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
- 2026-10-24T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-18T23:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 1-3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2026-05-01T19:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 2-2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2025-10-27T19:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 1-3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2025-10-12T21:15:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 1-3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2025-09-20T21:30:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 4-2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2025-05-02T19:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 2-4 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2024-12-12T19:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 1-3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2024-08-25T00:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 3-3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2024-04-28T22:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 3-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2024-04-22T19:00:00.000Z · Independiente Petrolero 1-6 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 51 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 51 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -19 | 27 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Independiente Petrolero win, at 57.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.