· Analysis updated 10:51 UTC
India W vs Hertha Berlin W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for India W and 1.91 for Hertha Berlin W, a combined total of 3.67. That distribution gives Hertha Berlin W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.7% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
India W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha Berlin W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hertha Berlin W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 36% / 22% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for India W and 1.91 for Hertha Berlin W, a combined 3.67 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.6%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.2%
Recent form
India W
- 2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Malawi W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kenya W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Chinese Taipei W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-07T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Japan W · 0-11 (L)
- 2026-03-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vietnam W · 1-2 (L)
Hertha Berlin W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Andernach W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Sand W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim II W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Koln W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.