· Analysis updated 04:51 UTC
Ingolstadt U19 vs 1860 München U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Ingolstadt U19 and 2.22 for 1860 München U19, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives 1860 München U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
1860 München U19 win
50.5% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 2.22
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
1860 München U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 1860 München U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 29% / 20% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Ingolstadt U19 and 2.22 for 1860 München U19, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 72%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.4%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.2%
Recent form
Ingolstadt U19
1860 München U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 4-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wieseck U19 · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is 1860 München U19 win, at 50.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.