· Analysis updated 03:52 UTC
Inhulets vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Inhulets and 1.33 for Ahrobiznes Volochysk, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Inhulets the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.6% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Inhulets home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.9%
Recent form
Inhulets
- 2026-10-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka II · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Yarud Mariupol' · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Prykarpattia · 2-1 (W)
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- 2026-10-04T10:30:00.000Z · H vs UCSA · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Polissya II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Livyi Bereh · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · Inhulets 0-1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2026-04-26T10:30:00.000Z · Inhulets 0-1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2025-10-08T10:00:00.000Z · Inhulets 3-2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2024-05-10T10:30:00.000Z · Inhulets 3-0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2024-04-06T10:00:00.000Z · Inhulets 0-1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2019-11-09T12:00:00.000Z · Inhulets 1-2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2019-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · Inhulets 2-0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2019-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · Inhulets 0-0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
- 2018-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · Inhulets 2-1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (Persha Liga)
Persha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | SK Poltava | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Yarud Mariupol' | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Oleksandria | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Kulykiv | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 7 | Nyva Ternopil | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Prykarpattia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Metal Kharkiv | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | UCSA | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.