World · UEFA Europa Conference League · League phase — 420:00

20:00 UTC

Thursday, 26 November 2026

Estadi de la FAF · Analysis updated 08:06 UTC

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC Copenhagen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Inter Club d'Escaldes and 1.80 for FC Copenhagen, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives FC Copenhagen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

FC Copenhagen win

50.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Inter Club d'Escaldes home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Copenhagen away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Copenhagen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 27% / 23% / 50% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for Inter Club d'Escaldes and 1.80 for FC Copenhagen, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Inter Club d'Escaldes win27%
Draw23%
FC Copenhagen win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 0–27.7%
  • 2–16.7%

Recent form

Inter Club d'Escaldes

  • 2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Mjallby AIF · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ordino · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodez · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranger's · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carroi · 3-0 (W)

FC Copenhagen

  • 2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Braga · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brondby · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Panathinaikos220056
2FC Lugano220046
3Brann220046
4Trabzonspor220046
5Twente220046
6Monaco220046
7St. Truiden220036
8HNK Hajduk Split220026
9Brighton211044
10FC Copenhagen211034
11Universitatea Craiova211024
12Mjallby AIF211024
13Ajax210113
14Borac Banja Luka210113
15Atalanta210103
16SC Braga2101-13
17Gent2101-13
18SC Freiburg2101-23
19FC Nordsjaelland202002
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë202002
21Riga202002
22FK Crvena Zvezda2011-11
23CSKA Sofia2011-11
24FK Jablonec2011-11
25FC Midtjylland2011-11
26Aarhus2011-11
27Pafos2011-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2011-21
29FC Iberia 19992011-21
30Getafe2011-31
31Kairat Almaty2011-41
32FC Thun2002-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2002-40
34KuPS2002-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2002-40
36Kauno Žalgiris2002-70

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Copenhagen win, at 50.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.