Kalyani Stadium · Analysis updated 01:51 UTC
Inter Kashi vs East Bengal II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Inter Kashi and 1.73 for East Bengal II, a combined total of 2.81. That distribution gives East Bengal II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
East Bengal II win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
East Bengal II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates East Bengal II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 24% / 24% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Inter Kashi and 1.73 for East Bengal II, a combined 2.81 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Inter Kashi
East Bengal II
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Churchill Brothers · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-13T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Al Shorta · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-08T12:45:00.000Z · A vs ATK Mohun Bagan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-05T11:30:00.000Z · H vs NorthEast United · 7-2 (W)
- 2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Minerva Punjab · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Indian Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NorthEast United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Bengaluru | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Minerva Punjab | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | East Bengal II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kerala Blasters | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Churchill Brothers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Odisha | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Mumbai City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Chennaiyin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Inter Kashi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | SC Delhi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is East Bengal II win, at 52.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.