Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · Matchweek 2407:00
Inter LionsLWWLW

0 – 4

Saturday, 18 July 2026

Majors Bay Reserve · Analysis updated 13:57 UTC

Inter Lions vs Rydalmere Lions Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Inter Lions and 1.42 for Rydalmere Lions, a combined total of 2.81. That distribution gives Rydalmere Lions the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Inter Lions home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rydalmere Lions to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 25% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.39 goals for Inter Lions and 1.42 for Rydalmere Lions, a combined 2.81 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Inter Lions win37%
Draw25%
Rydalmere Lions win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–18.3%

Recent form

Inter Lions

  • 2026-08-29T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Hakoah Sydney City · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Dulwich Hill · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Bankstown City Lions · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T10:15:00.000Z · A vs Blacktown Spartans · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Coast II · 4-1 (W)

Rydalmere Lions

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    New South Wales NPL 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Blacktown Spartans3021634369
    2Northern Tigers3017852559
    3Bankstown City Lions3017582056
    4Canterbury Bankstown3015691851
    5Hills Brumbies3014791749
    6Macarthur Rams3014610448
    7Hakoah Sydney City30111091243
    8Rydalmere Lions3011811-341
    9Bulls Academy3011514238
    10Inter Lions3010515-1535
    11Hurstville FC309615-1333
    12Central Coast II308715-2131
    13Dulwich Hill307914-1830
    14Newcastle Jets II3061113-1829
    15Prospect United3041412-1926
    16Mt Druitt Town306519-3423

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

    A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.