· Analysis updated 18:55 UTC
Inter Sibiu vs Tricolorul Breaza Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.22 expected goals for Inter Sibiu and 0.90 for Tricolorul Breaza, a combined total of 4.12. That distribution gives Inter Sibiu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Inter Sibiu win
81.8% probability
Expected goals
3.22 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Inter Sibiu home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tricolorul Breaza away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Inter Sibiu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 11% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.22 goals for Inter Sibiu and 0.90 for Tricolorul Breaza, a combined 4.12 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
18%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–09.0%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–17.6%
- 4–07.2%
Recent form
Inter Sibiu
- 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ACS Mediaş 2022 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Valenii de Munte · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpic Zărneşti · 7-2 (W)
Tricolorul Breaza
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Baicoi · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carpati Covasna · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ACS Mediaş 2022 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Corona Braşov · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corona Braşov | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 26 |
| 2 | ACS Mediaş 2022 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Baicoi | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 | Olimpic Zărneşti | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter Sibiu | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Sepsi II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Săcele | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Valenii de Munte | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Tricolorul Breaza | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
| 11 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -15 | 3 |
| 12 | Carpati Covasna | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -30 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Inter Sibiu win, at 81.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.