· Analysis updated 16:22 UTC
Inter Star vs Olympic Star Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Inter Star and 1.25 for Olympic Star, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Olympic Star the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.6% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Inter Star home form
1 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Olympic Star to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 32% / 28% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Inter Star and 1.25 for Olympic Star, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–28.2%
Recent form
Inter Star
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kayanza United · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngozi City · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Never Give Up Academy · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vital'O · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Le Messager Ngozi · 0-3 (L)
Olympic Star
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panthere Noir · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Never Give Up Academy · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Muzinga · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bumamuru · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rukinzo · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-27T13:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 1-2 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2025-08-24T13:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 0-1 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2025-04-06T13:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 0-1 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2024-09-28T13:45:00.000Z · Inter Star 2-1 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2024-03-10T13:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 0-1 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2023-09-24T13:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 0-1 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2023-03-04T13:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 1-1 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2022-10-08T14:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 1-4 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2021-01-10T13:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 0-1 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
- 2020-12-20T14:00:00.000Z · Inter Star 2-0 Olympic Star (Ligue A)
Ligue A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 21 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Rukinzo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Olympic Star | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Aigle Noir | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Ngozi City | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bumamuru | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Musongati | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Vital'O | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Inter Star | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Flambeau du Centre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Never Give Up Academy | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Kayanza United | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Young Star | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.