Veritas Stadium · Referee Antti Munukka, Finland · Analysis updated 00:46 UTC
Inter Turku vs Lahti Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Inter Turku and 1.20 for Lahti, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Inter Turku the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.
Model pick
Inter Turku or Draw
67.8% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.5%
Why the model likes this
Inter Turku home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lahti away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Inter Turku to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 26% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Inter Turku and 1.20 for Lahti, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 2.22 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.30 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 2.98 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.30 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.30 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.93 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.80 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 3.35 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.30 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 8.50 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.70 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.95 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.36 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.62 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Inter Turku
- 2026-08-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Vaduz · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lahti · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VPS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Başakşehir · 2-0 (W)
Lahti
- 2026-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Turku · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FF Jaro · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ilves · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mariehamn · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs HJK Helsinki · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.