Mexico · Liga Premier Serie B · Apertura - 722:00

22:00 UTC

Saturday, 7 November 2026

· Analysis updated 08:51 UTC

Internacional Laguna vs Huracanes Izcalli Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Internacional Laguna and 2.41 for Huracanes Izcalli, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Huracanes Izcalli the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Huracanes Izcalli win

60.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 2.41

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Huracanes Izcalli away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Huracanes Izcalli to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 21% / 19% / 60% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.39 goals for Internacional Laguna and 2.41 for Huracanes Izcalli, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Internacional Laguna win21%
Draw19%
Huracanes Izcalli win60%

Double chance 1X

40%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 1–37.3%
  • 0–26.5%
  • 2–26.3%

Recent form

Internacional Laguna

    Huracanes Izcalli

    • 2026-08-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-03-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Poza Rica · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-03-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Acambaro · 3-8 (L)
    • 2026-02-22T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-02-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Artesanos Metepec · 0-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.

    Liga Premier Serie B table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Huracanes Izcalli win, at 60.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

    A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.