· Analysis updated 12:34 UTC
Ipswich Town W vs London City Lionesses W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Ipswich Town W and 1.45 for London City Lionesses W, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives London City Lionesses W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.2% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ipswich Town W home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
London City Lionesses W away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates London City Lionesses W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 31% / 26% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Ipswich Town W and 1.45 for London City Lionesses W, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 0–27.6%
Recent form
Ipswich Town W
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolverhampton W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheffield United W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs London City Lionesses W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolverhampton W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leicester City FC W · 1-0 (W)
London City Lionesses W
- 2026-10-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs West Ham W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Everton W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tottenham Hotspur W · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ipswich Town W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brighton W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
WSL Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 |
| 2 | Aston Villa W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Liverpool W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | London City Lionesses W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Ham W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Tottenham Hotspur W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Brighton W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Everton W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Burnley W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sunderland W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bristol City W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Watford W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Leicester City FC W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Southampton W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Sheffield United W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9 | 1 |
| 20 | Birmingham City W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 21 | Newcastle United W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 | Durham W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 23 | Charlton Athletic W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.