Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Ipswich and 1.18 for Nottingham Forest, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Ipswich the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Ipswich win

48.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ipswich win49%

Draw24%

Nottingham Forest win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–111.4%
1–09.7%
2–19.5%
2–08.1%
0–16.8%

Why the model likes this

Ipswich home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Nottingham Forest away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Ipswich

2026-08-15T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin · 4-2 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rayo Vallecano · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-04T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Le Havre · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wycombe · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Oxford United · 0-2 (L)

Nottingham Forest

2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Brestois 29 · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-12T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Bayer Leverkusen · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Barcelona · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Udinese · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2025-03-15T15:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 2-4 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
2025-03-03T19:30:00.000Z · Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest (FA Cup)
2024-11-30T15:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 0-1 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
2019-03-16T15:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest (Championship)
2018-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 0-2 Nottingham Forest (Championship)
2018-04-14T14:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 1-2 Nottingham Forest (Championship)
2017-12-02T15:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 4-2 Nottingham Forest (Championship)
2017-05-07T11:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 0-3 Nottingham Forest (Championship)
2016-11-19T17:30:00.000Z · Ipswich 0-2 Nottingham Forest (Championship)
2016-03-05T15:00:00.000Z · Ipswich 1-0 Nottingham Forest (Championship)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.