Kaftanzoglio Stadium · Analysis updated 07:26 UTC
Iraklis 1908 vs Anagennisi Karditsas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Iraklis 1908 and 1.03 for Anagennisi Karditsas, a combined total of 2.28. That distribution gives Iraklis 1908 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.7% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Anagennisi Karditsas away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Iraklis 1908 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 28% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Iraklis 1908 and 1.03 for Anagennisi Karditsas, a combined 2.28 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–18.2%
Recent form
Iraklis 1908
- 2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Aris Thessalonikis · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atromitos · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Asteras Tripolis · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Volos NFC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AEK Athens FC · 0-4 (L)
Anagennisi Karditsas
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Pyrgos 1968 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Zakynthos · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Asteras Tripolis II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Pontou · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panionios · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Kallithea | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Panionios | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Larisa | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Panserraikos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Ellas Syros | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Panthrakikos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Niki Volos | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Apollon Pontou | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | PAOK II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Pyrgos 1968 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Zakynthos | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.