· Analysis updated 11:38 UTC
ISCA vs Racing d'Abidjan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for ISCA and 0.64 for Racing d'Abidjan, a combined total of 1.80. That distribution gives ISCA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ISCA win
48.2% probability
Expected goals
1.16 – 0.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
ISCA home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Racing d'Abidjan away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ISCA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 31% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.16 goals for ISCA and 0.64 for Racing d'Abidjan, a combined 1.80 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–019.1%
- 0–016.5%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–011.1%
- 0–110.6%
Recent form
ISCA
- 2026-10-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs SOA · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-07T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouaké · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T15:30:00.000Z · A vs US Tchologo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs San-Pédro · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-17T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ES Agboville · 1-0 (W)
Racing d'Abidjan
- 2026-05-23T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Stella · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade d'Abidjan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Korhogo · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-03T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ES Agboville · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SOL · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yamoussoukro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | SOA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Zoman | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | ES Agboville | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | San-Pédro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | SOL | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Stade d'Abidjan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | ISCA | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Bouaké | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Korhogo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 11 | AFAD | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Stella | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | ASEC Mimosas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | US Tchologo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Mouna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Adiake | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ISCA win, at 48.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 27%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.