· Analysis updated 15:51 UTC
Ishøj vs FC Helsingor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Ishøj and 2.00 for FC Helsingor, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives FC Helsingor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
FC Helsingor win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ishøj home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Helsingor away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Ishøj
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ringsted · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Holstebro · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vanløse · 0-1 (L)
FC Helsingor
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ishøj · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Hørsholm-Usserød · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-22T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Holstebro · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ringsted · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · Ishøj 2-2 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
- 2026-04-24T16:30:00.000Z · Ishøj 0-4 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
- 2025-10-17T17:00:00.000Z · Ishøj 3-1 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
- 2025-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · Ishøj 3-1 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
- 2025-05-31T11:00:00.000Z · Ishøj 3-2 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
- 2025-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · Ishøj 2-2 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
- 2025-02-01T15:30:00.000Z · Ishøj 2-1 FC Helsingor (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-11-15T18:00:00.000Z · Ishøj 1-1 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
- 2024-09-28T11:00:00.000Z · Ishøj 1-2 FC Helsingor (2. Division)
3. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Næsby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 9 | Frem | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Ishøj | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 |
| 11 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC Helsingor win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.