· Analysis updated 16:15 UTC
Iskra vs Berane Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.84 expected goals for Iskra and 0.61 for Berane, a combined total of 2.46. That distribution gives Iskra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Iskra win
66.9% probability
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Iskra home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Berane away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Iskra to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 21% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.84 goals for Iskra and 0.61 for Berane, a combined 2.46 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.8%
- 2–014.5%
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.9%
- 3–08.9%
Recent form
Iskra
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-1 (D)
Berane
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Iskra win, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.