· Analysis updated 14:33 UTC
Iskra vs Kom Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.09 expected goals for Iskra and 0.99 for Kom, a combined total of 2.09. That distribution gives Iskra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.6% probability
Expected goals
1.09 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Iskra home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kom away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Iskra to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 30% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.09 goals for Iskra and 0.99 for Kom, a combined 2.09 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.6%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–012.4%
- 0–112.3%
- 2–07.4%
Recent form
Iskra
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-1 (D)
Kom
- 2026-10-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrovac · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.