· Analysis updated 19:56 UTC
Iskra vs Mladost Lješkopolje Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Iskra and 1.20 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined total of 1.85. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mladost Lješkopolje win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Iskra home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mladost Lješkopolje away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mladost Lješkopolje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 20% / 31% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.65 goals for Iskra and 1.20 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined 1.85 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–118.9%
- 0–015.7%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–211.3%
- 1–010.2%
Recent form
Iskra
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-1 (D)
Mladost Lješkopolje
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mladost Lješkopolje win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.