· Analysis updated 13:55 UTC
Ismaily SC vs El Mansura Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Ismaily SC and 1.38 for El Mansura, a combined total of 2.59. That distribution gives El Mansura the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.1% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ismaily SC home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates El Mansura to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 33% / 26% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for Ismaily SC and 1.38 for El Mansura, a combined 2.59 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Ismaily SC
- 2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs La Viena FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-16T12:30:00.000Z · A vs El Seka El Hadid · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Tanta SC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Dayrout · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Mega Sport · 3-2 (W)
El Mansura
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Itesalat | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Pharco | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kahraba Ismailia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | AL Nasr SC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Tersana | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | El Mansura | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Team | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | El Entag EL Harby | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ismaily SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Tanta SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | El Dakhleya | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Proxy | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | La Viena FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Dayrout | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.