· Analysis updated 19:39 UTC
Ituano U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.73 expected goals for Ituano U20 and 3.38 for RB Bragantino U20, a combined total of 4.10. That distribution gives RB Bragantino U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
RB Bragantino U20 win
86.4% probability
Expected goals
0.73 – 3.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ituano U20 home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
RB Bragantino U20 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RB Bragantino U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 5% / 9% / 86% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.73 goals for Ituano U20 and 3.38 for RB Bragantino U20, a combined 4.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
14%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
96%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–310.6%
- 0–29.4%
- 0–49.0%
- 1–37.7%
- 1–26.8%
Recent form
Ituano U20
- 2026-09-25T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Palmeiras U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-21T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Palmeiras U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flamengo SP U20 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sfera U20 · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Guarani U20 · 1-2 (L)
RB Bragantino U20
- 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flamengo SP U20 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo SP U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bandeirante U20 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bandeirante U20 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Água Santa U20 · 8-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paulista - U20 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is RB Bragantino U20 win, at 86.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.