· Analysis updated 02:55 UTC
Jagiellonia U19 vs Raków Częstochowa U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Jagiellonia U19 and 1.75 for Raków Częstochowa U19, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Raków Częstochowa U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Raków Częstochowa U19 or Draw
67.7% probability
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 2–17.5%
- 0–17.1%
- 2–26.6%
Why the model likes this
Raków Częstochowa U19 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Raków Częstochowa U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 32% / 23% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for Jagiellonia U19 and 1.75 for Raków Częstochowa U19, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Jagiellonia U19
Raków Częstochowa U19
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2024-06-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznań U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2024-05-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Odra Opole U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2024-05-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Warta Poznań U19 · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Central Youth League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Raków Częstochowa U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Wisła Kraków U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Arkonia U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Stal Rzeszów U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Górnik Zabrze U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Śląsk Wrocław U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Polonia Warszawa U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Talent Warszawa U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Miedź Legnica U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Escola Varsovia U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.