· Analysis updated 11:00 UTC
Jahn Regensburg U19 vs Stuttgart U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Jahn Regensburg U19 and 2.53 for Stuttgart U19, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Stuttgart U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Stuttgart U19 win
61.4% probability
Expected goals
1.43 – 2.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jahn Regensburg U19 home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Stuttgart U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stuttgart U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 20% / 18% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Jahn Regensburg U19 and 2.53 for Stuttgart U19, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.7%
- 1–37.4%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–26.2%
- 0–26.1%
Recent form
Jahn Regensburg U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Unterhaching U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs 1860 München U19 · 2-8 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
Stuttgart U19
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Jahn Regensburg U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-09T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Viking U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Freiburg U19 · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Stuttgart U19 win, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.