Juba Stadium · Analysis updated 11:46 UTC
Jamus vs Al Hilal Omdurman Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.97 expected goals for Jamus and 1.34 for Al Hilal Omdurman, a combined total of 2.31. That distribution gives Al Hilal Omdurman the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Hilal Omdurman win
45.2% probability
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.34
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jamus home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Hilal Omdurman away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Hilal Omdurman to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 27% / 28% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.97 goals for Jamus and 1.34 for Al Hilal Omdurman, a combined 2.31 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.3%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–28.9%
Recent form
Jamus
- 2026-08-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Hilal Omdurman · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Rayon Sports · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogadishu City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Simba · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singida Black Stars · 2-0 (W)
Al Hilal Omdurman
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sidama Bunna · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Kigali · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aigle Noir · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aigle Noir · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jamus · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-07T13:00:00.000Z · Jamus 1-2 Al Hilal Omdurman (CECAFA Club Cup)
- 2025-09-28T16:00:00.000Z · Jamus 0-1 Al Hilal Omdurman (CAF Champions League)
- 2025-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · Jamus 0-0 Al Hilal Omdurman (CAF Champions League)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Hilal Omdurman win, at 45.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.