Java United vs Pusamania Borneo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Java United and 1.13 for Pusamania Borneo, a combined total of 2.13. That distribution gives Pusamania Borneo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Java United home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pusamania Borneo away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pusamania Borneo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 32% / 30% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Java United and 1.13 for Pusamania Borneo, a combined 2.13 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Java United win32%

Draw30%

Pusamania Borneo win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

0–113.4%
1–113.4%
0–011.9%
1–011.9%
0–27.6%

Recent form

Java United

2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bali United · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Pusamania Borneo · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Persija · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Persita · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Garudayaksa · 1-1 (D)

Pusamania Borneo

2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Bali United · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-16T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Dewa United · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Persijap · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Persija · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Java United · 7-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Persija	4	4	0	0	7	12
2	Dewa United	5	3	2	0	4	11
3	Bali United	4	3	0	1	8	9
4	Persepam Madura Utd	4	3	0	1	3	9
5	Persita	4	2	2	0	2	8
6	Persebaya Surabaya	4	2	2	0	2	8
7	Persik Kediri	4	2	1	1	3	7
8	Persib Bandung	4	2	1	1	2	7
9	Arema FC	4	1	3	0	4	6
10	Bhayangkara FC	4	1	3	0	2	6
11	Pusamania Borneo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	PSS Sleman	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Java United	4	1	1	2	-1	2
14	Garudayaksa	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	PSM Makassar	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	PSIM Yogyakarta	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Persijap	4	0	0	4	-9	0
18	Isenmulang Kalteng	4	0	0	4	-10	-2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.