Bosnia · 1st League - FBiH · FBiH - 813:00

0 – 2

Saturday, 3 October 2026

· Analysis updated 09:54 UTC

Jedinstvo Bihać vs Radnik Hadžići Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Jedinstvo Bihać and 0.97 for Radnik Hadžići, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives Jedinstvo Bihać the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Jedinstvo Bihać win

54.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 0.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Jedinstvo Bihać home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Jedinstvo Bihać to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 24% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.70 goals for Jedinstvo Bihać and 0.97 for Radnik Hadžići, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Jedinstvo Bihać win55%
Draw24%
Radnik Hadžići win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–011.8%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–06.9%

Recent form

Jedinstvo Bihać

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Travnik · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sloboda Tuzla · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T15:30:00.000Z · A vs GOŠK Gabela · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Hadžići · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Zvijezda Gradačac · 1-3 (L)

Radnik Hadžići

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1st League - FBiH table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Posušje118301027
    2Travnik118121225
    3Sloboda Tuzla116321021
    4Stupčanica Olovo116231320
    5GOŠK Gabela11623720
    6Igman Konjic11542419
    7TOŠK Tešanj11524417
    8Bratstvo Gračanica11353-214
    9Jedinstvo Bihać11344113
    10Vitez11335-512
    11Zvijezda Gradačac11326111
    12Radnik Hadžići11317-610
    13Budućnost Banovići11245-910
    14Rudar Kakanj11227-128
    15Čapljina11227-138
    16Tomislav11227-158

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Jedinstvo Bihać win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

    A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.