· Analysis updated 15:25 UTC
Jedinstvo Bihać vs Tomislav Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.06 expected goals for Jedinstvo Bihać and 1.17 for Tomislav, a combined total of 4.23. That distribution gives Jedinstvo Bihać the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Jedinstvo Bihać win
74.9% probability
Expected goals
3.06 – 1.17
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jedinstvo Bihać home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tomislav away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
25%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–18.1%
- 2–18.0%
- 3–06.9%
- 2–06.8%
- 4–16.2%
Recent form
Jedinstvo Bihać
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Zvijezda Gradačac · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs TOŠK Tešanj · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Budućnost Banovići · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tomislav · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vitez · 1-1 (D)
Tomislav
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Igman Konjic · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bratstvo Gračanica · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stupčanica Olovo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo Bihać · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Travnik · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 4-0 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 3-1 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2025-10-25T12:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 2-2 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2025-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 1-1 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2024-10-12T13:00:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 0-3 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2024-05-26T15:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 4-2 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2023-11-04T12:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 2-2 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2023-04-15T14:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 0-0 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2022-05-21T15:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 0-4 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
- 2021-10-30T12:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo Bihać 3-1 Tomislav (1st League - FBiH)
1st League - FBiH table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Travnik | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Posušje | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Stupčanica Olovo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 |
| 4 | Sloboda Tuzla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | GOŠK Gabela | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Igman Konjic | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | TOŠK Tešanj | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Jedinstvo Bihać | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Bratstvo Gračanica | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Budućnost Banovići | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | Zvijezda Gradačac | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Tomislav | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 13 | Radnik Hadžići | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rudar Kakanj | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Čapljina | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 | Vitez | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Jedinstvo Bihać win, at 74.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.