Serbia · Prva Liga · Regular Season - 616:00

16:00 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 00:50 UTC

Jedinstvo Ub vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for Jedinstvo Ub and 1.81 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or Draw

61.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.81

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Jedinstvo Ub win39%
Draw22%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–18.9%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 0–15.0%

Why the model likes this

  • FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 22% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.79 goals for Jedinstvo Ub and 1.81 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined 3.59 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Jedinstvo Ub

    FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

    • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Teleoptik · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalac GM · 4-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prva Liga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Semendrija 1924330059
    2Napredak330039
    3TSC Backa Topola321027
    4Dubočica321027
    5FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV320136
    6Borac Cacak320116
    7OFK Vršac320116
    8Javor311134
    9Jedinstvo Ub310203
    10Grafičar3102-13
    11Metalac GM3102-23
    12Teleoptik3102-43
    13Loznica3021-12
    14Naftagas3012-21
    15FK Vozdovac3003-30
    16OFK Bor 19193003-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.