· Analysis updated 12:41 UTC
Jedinstvo vs Grbalj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Jedinstvo and 1.55 for Grbalj, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Grbalj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Grbalj win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jedinstvo home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Grbalj away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–07.8%
Recent form
Jedinstvo
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lovćen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 3-2 (W)
Grbalj
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Tivat · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Mogren · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zeta · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 2-0 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2026-02-03T13:00:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 2-2 Grbalj (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-05-01T14:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 1-0 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2022-03-20T13:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 2-1 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2021-11-06T12:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 1-0 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2021-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 3-0 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2021-05-02T14:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 0-0 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2021-03-21T14:00:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 3-1 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2020-10-31T12:30:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 1-1 Grbalj (Second League)
- 2020-09-13T15:15:00.000Z · Jedinstvo 2-0 Grbalj (Second League)
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Grbalj win, at 48.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.