· Analysis updated 05:47 UTC
Jennings United vs Pigotts Bullets Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Jennings United and 2.65 for Pigotts Bullets, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Pigotts Bullets the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pigotts Bullets win
75.1% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 2.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jennings United home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Pigotts Bullets away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pigotts Bullets to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 10% / 15% / 75% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.88 goals for Jennings United and 2.65 for Pigotts Bullets, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
25%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.3%
- 0–39.1%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–17.8%
Recent form
Jennings United
- 2026-04-25T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Old Road · 0-14 (L)
- 2026-04-18T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Aston Villa · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-04-04T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Garden Stars · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-03-29T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Pigotts Bullets · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-21T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Potters Tigers · 0-2 (L)
Pigotts Bullets
- 2026-05-03T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenades · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-19T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Ottos Rangers · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-11T20:15:00.000Z · H vs Potters Tigers · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-05T20:15:00.000Z · A vs Green City · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-03-29T20:15:00.000Z · A vs Jennings United · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-29T20:15:00.000Z · Jennings United 1-3 Pigotts Bullets (Premier Division)
- 2026-01-03T22:00:00.000Z · Jennings United 0-3 Pigotts Bullets (Premier Division)
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potters Tigers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Garden Stars | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Grenades | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Pigotts Bullets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hoppers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | All Saints United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Freemansville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 9 | Old Road | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pigotts Bullets win, at 75.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.