· Analysis updated 05:30 UTC
Jeunesse Junglinster vs Bettembourg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Jeunesse Junglinster and 1.72 for Bettembourg, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Jeunesse Junglinster the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jeunesse Junglinster home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bettembourg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jeunesse Junglinster to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Jeunesse Junglinster and 1.72 for Bettembourg, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 3–15.3%
Recent form
Jeunesse Junglinster
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bettembourg · 2-6 (L)
- 2024-11-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs US Hostert · 2-4 (L)
- 2024-10-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Feulen · 2-1 (W)
- 2024-09-07T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Erpeldange · 3-1 (W)
- 2023-10-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiltz · 0-4 (L)
Bettembourg
- 2026-07-14T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Swift Hesperange · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Feulen · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jeunesse Junglinster · 6-2 (W)
- 2025-05-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Atert Bissen · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-05-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs F91 Dudelange · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.