Terrain Route de Luxembourg · Analysis updated 21:55 UTC
Jeunesse Junglinster vs Feulen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Jeunesse Junglinster and 1.76 for Feulen, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Jeunesse Junglinster the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jeunesse Junglinster home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Feulen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jeunesse Junglinster to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 21% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Jeunesse Junglinster and 1.76 for Feulen, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.2%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–27.2%
- 3–15.5%
Recent form
Jeunesse Junglinster
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bettembourg · 2-6 (L)
- 2024-11-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs US Hostert · 2-4 (L)
- 2024-10-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Feulen · 2-1 (W)
- 2024-09-07T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Erpeldange · 3-1 (W)
- 2023-10-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiltz · 0-4 (L)
Feulen
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Boevange / Attert · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Jeunesse Esch · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Rosport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-03-04T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Alisontia Steinsel · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bettembourg · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.