· Referee M. Haapakoski · Analysis updated 15:32 UTC
JIPPO vs Haka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for JIPPO and 1.10 for Haka, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.6% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
JIPPO home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Haka away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–18.2%
Recent form
JIPPO
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs PK-35 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-2 (L)
Haka
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PK-35 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ilves · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KäPa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · JIPPO 0-3 Haka (Ykkösliiga)
- 2026-05-29T15:30:00.000Z · JIPPO 1-2 Haka (Ykkösliiga)
- 2024-04-16T15:00:00.000Z · JIPPO 0-2 Haka (Suomen Cup)
- 2014-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · JIPPO 1-1 Haka (Ykkönen)
- 2014-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · JIPPO 0-5 Haka (Ykkönen)
- 2014-06-07T13:00:00.000Z · JIPPO 1-4 Haka (Ykkönen)
- 2014-03-08T15:00:00.000Z · JIPPO 0-4 Haka (Suomen Cup)
- 2013-09-15T13:00:00.000Z · JIPPO 2-1 Haka (Ykkönen)
- 2013-07-18T15:30:00.000Z · JIPPO 0-2 Haka (Ykkönen)
- 2013-05-26T15:30:00.000Z · JIPPO 0-0 Haka (Ykkönen)
Ykkösliiga table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.