Finland · Ykkösliiga · Group Stage15:30
JIPPOLLWDW

10

Thursday, 30 July 2026

JäPSLWLWW

· Referee K. Nummela · Analysis updated 23:47 UTC

JIPPO vs JäPS Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for JIPPO and 0.69 for JäPS, a combined total of 2.23. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.

Model pick

JIPPO to Win

57.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.69

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

JIPPO win58%
Draw26%
JäPS win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 1–016.5%
  • 2–012.7%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 0–010.8%
  • 2–18.8%

Why the model likes this

  • JIPPO home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JIPPO to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 26% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for JIPPO and 0.69 for JäPS, a combined 2.23 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 39%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

JIPPO

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK Akatemia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MP · 3-1 (W)

JäPS

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ykkösliiga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Kooteepee1913331342
    2PK-351911531738
    3Haka1911441837
    4JIPPO19874831
    5JäPS19919-828
    6EIF18729-623
    7MP18639-521
    8KäPa194411-1216
    9Klubi-04192710-913
    10SJK Akatemia192611-1612

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.