· Referee K. Nummela · Analysis updated 08:50 UTC
JIPPO vs JäPS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for JIPPO and 0.61 for JäPS, a combined total of 2.36. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
JIPPO win
64.9% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
JIPPO home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
JäPS away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates JIPPO to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 23% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for JIPPO and 0.61 for JäPS, a combined 2.36 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–016.5%
- 2–014.4%
- 1–110.1%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–18.8%
Recent form
JIPPO
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs PK-35 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-2 (L)
JäPS
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Klubi-04 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SJK Akatemia · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is JIPPO win, at 64.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.