Finland · Ykkösliiga · Group stage15:30
JIPPOWWDLW

0 – 2

Friday, 4 September 2026

KooteepeeDLDWW

· Referee K. Makinen · Analysis updated 08:44 UTC

JIPPO vs Kooteepee Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for JIPPO and 1.06 for Kooteepee, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • JIPPO home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kooteepee away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JIPPO to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 29% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.20 goals for JIPPO and 1.06 for Kooteepee, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

JIPPO win39%
Draw29%
Kooteepee win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 2–17.9%

Recent form

JIPPO

  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs PK-35 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-2 (L)

Kooteepee

  • 2026-09-25T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MP · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · A vs JIPPO · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Haka · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ykkösliiga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kooteepee2718542259
2PK-352715752152
3Haka2714582047
4JIPPO2713861647
5JäPS2712213-1638
6EIF279513-1432
7MP278613-930
8Klubi-04276912027
9KäPa276714-1625
10SJK Akatemia273816-2417

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.