· Analysis updated 13:58 UTC
Jiskra Domažlice II vs Komárov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.80 expected goals for Jiskra Domažlice II and 1.78 for Komárov, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Komárov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Komárov win
60.6% probability
Expected goals
0.80 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jiskra Domažlice II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Komárov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Komárov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 17% / 23% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.80 goals for Jiskra Domažlice II and 1.78 for Komárov, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.5%
- 0–212.0%
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.6%
Recent form
Jiskra Domažlice II
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Křimice · 0-1 (L)
Komárov
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Křimice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Petřín Plzeň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Komárov | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hořovicko | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Táborsko II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Spartak Soběslav | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 4 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Komárov win, at 60.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.