Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 914:00

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Saturday, 3 October 2026

NyrskoLDLWL

· Analysis updated 11:37 UTC

Jiskra Domažlice II vs Nyrsko Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.02 expected goals for Jiskra Domažlice II and 1.54 for Nyrsko, a combined total of 4.56. That distribution gives Jiskra Domažlice II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Jiskra Domažlice II win

67.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.02 – 1.54

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Jiskra Domažlice II home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Nyrsko away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Jiskra Domažlice II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 16% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.02 goals for Jiskra Domažlice II and 1.54 for Nyrsko, a combined 4.56 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Jiskra Domažlice II win67%
Draw16%
Nyrsko win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 3–17.4%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 4–15.6%

Recent form

Jiskra Domažlice II

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 4-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Křimice · 0-1 (L)

Nyrsko

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Petřín Plzeň · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hořovicko · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Křimice128221126
2Petřín Plzeň12813825
3Spartak Pribram117311924
4Komárov116411122
5Hořovicko12633521
6Táborsko II11542819
7Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
8Spartak Soběslav11533618
9Doubravka11425-114
10Slavoj Český Krumlov11416-613
11Rokycany11416-813
12Strakonice10217-147
13Jiskra Domažlice II11209-86
14Nyrsko11119-244
15Milevsko11029-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Jiskra Domažlice II win, at 67.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.