Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 1113:30

6 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

StrakoniceLLLLD

· Analysis updated 13:05 UTC

Jiskra Domažlice II vs Strakonice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.87 expected goals for Jiskra Domažlice II and 2.01 for Strakonice, a combined total of 4.89. That distribution gives Jiskra Domažlice II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Jiskra Domažlice II win

56.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.87 – 2.01

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Jiskra Domažlice II home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Jiskra Domažlice II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 17% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.87 goals for Jiskra Domažlice II and 2.01 for Strakonice, a combined 4.89 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 82%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Match result (1X2)

Jiskra Domažlice II win56%
Draw17%
Strakonice win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals72%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 2–26.3%
  • 2–16.3%
  • 3–26.0%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 1–24.4%

Recent form

Jiskra Domažlice II

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Rokycany · 4-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Strakonice · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Křimice · 0-1 (L)

Strakonice

  • 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rokycany · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 5-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Křimice128221126
2Petřín Plzeň12813825
3Spartak Pribram117311924
4Komárov116411122
5Hořovicko12633521
6Táborsko II11542819
7Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
8Spartak Soběslav11533618
9Doubravka11425-114
10Slavoj Český Krumlov11416-613
11Rokycany11416-813
12Strakonice10217-147
13Jiskra Domažlice II11209-86
14Nyrsko11119-244
15Milevsko11029-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Jiskra Domažlice II win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.