Czech-Republic · Cup · Round of 6415:30

3 – 4

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Mestsky stadion Strelnice · Analysis updated 04:47 UTC

Jiskra Domažlice vs Kladno Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Jiskra Domažlice and 1.83 for Kladno, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Jiskra Domažlice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Jiskra Domažlice win

51.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.42 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Jiskra Domažlice home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kladno away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Jiskra Domažlice win51%
Draw19%
Kladno win30%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–16.3%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 1–25.8%

Recent form

Jiskra Domažlice

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 6-3 (W)

Kladno

  • 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · Jiskra Domažlice 3-4 Kladno (Cup)
  • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · Jiskra Domažlice 2-0 Kladno (3. liga - CFL A)
  • 2025-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · Jiskra Domažlice 1-1 Kladno (3. liga - CFL A)
  • 2025-02-01T10:00:00.000Z · Jiskra Domažlice 1-2 Kladno (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2021-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · Jiskra Domažlice 7-0 Kladno (Cup)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Jiskra Domažlice win, at 51.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.