Jiskra Domažlice vs Sparta Praha II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Jiskra Domažlice and 2.25 for Sparta Praha II, a combined total of 3.96. That distribution gives Sparta Praha II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sparta Praha II win

50.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.71 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Jiskra Domažlice home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sparta Praha II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Praha II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 30% / 20% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.71 goals for Jiskra Domažlice and 2.25 for Sparta Praha II, a combined 3.96 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Jiskra Domažlice win30%

Draw20%

Sparta Praha II win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals56%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

1–28.3%
1–17.3%
2–27.1%
2–16.3%
1–36.2%

Recent form

Jiskra Domažlice

2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 4-4 (D)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 6-3 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia III · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Motorlet Praha · 5-2 (W)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 2-1 (W)

Sparta Praha II

2026-10-11T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha II · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Loko Vltavín · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	České Budějovice	12	8	2	2	21	26
2	Králův Dvůr	11	8	2	1	13	26
3	Viktoria Plzeň II	11	7	2	2	11	23
4	Motorlet Praha	12	7	2	3	9	23
5	Jiskra Domažlice	12	6	3	3	2	21
6	Loko Vltavín	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Sparta Praha II	9	4	4	1	11	16
8	Slavia III	12	4	2	6	1	14
9	Admira Praha	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Příbram II	11	3	4	4	-1	13
11	Bohemians 1905 II	12	3	4	5	-5	13
12	Dukla Praha II	12	2	5	5	-3	11
13	Písek	11	2	5	4	-7	11
14	Benešov	11	2	4	5	-8	10
15	Aritma Praha	12	1	6	5	-17	9
16	Povltava FA	12	0	2	10	-21	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sparta Praha II win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.