Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · Group A - 1212:30

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Saturday, 24 October 2026

Mestsky stadion Strelnice · Analysis updated 08:51 UTC

Jiskra Domažlice vs Viktoria Plzeň II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Jiskra Domažlice and 2.48 for Viktoria Plzeň II, a combined total of 4.64. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoria Plzeň II win

46.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 2.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Jiskra Domažlice home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viktoria Plzeň II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viktoria Plzeň II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 35% / 19% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.15 goals for Jiskra Domažlice and 2.48 for Viktoria Plzeň II, a combined 4.64 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Jiskra Domažlice win35%
Draw19%
Viktoria Plzeň II win47%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score81%

Correct score

  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 2–35.7%
  • 2–15.6%
  • 1–35.3%

Recent form

Jiskra Domažlice

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 6-3 (W)

Viktoria Plzeň II

  • 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 II · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T08:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II104421016
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Písek12354-614
11Příbram II11344-113
12Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
13Dukla Praha II12255-311
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň II win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.