· Analysis updated 16:44 UTC
Jitex W vs Gamla Upsala W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Jitex W and 1.06 for Gamla Upsala W, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Jitex W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Jitex W win
50.9% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Jitex W home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Gamla Upsala W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jitex W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 25% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Jitex W and 1.06 for Gamla Upsala W, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.7%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–17.1%
Recent form
Jitex W
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Linköping W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Häcken II W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Göteborg W · 1-1 (D)
Gamla Upsala W
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Enskede W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Alingsås W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 53 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 51 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Husqvarna W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Trelleborg W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -11 | 22 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -38 | 11 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | -25 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Jitex W win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.